Putin was absolutely certain that he held all the cards in the Black Sea until Turkey made that historic move that paralyzed Moscow’s entire strategy.
This critical move, the background of which we will unravel shortly, is not merely a military decision.
It is a historic turning point that on that ruthless chessboard where great powers have been at each other’s throats for centuries, determined from the outset who would hold the reigns.
In these dark waters where energy highways intersect, grain corridors fates are decided and undersea data cables lie.
Every step taken is part of a colossal geopolitical calculation.
Russia viewed this sea as an impregnable fortress leading to the warm waters.
On the Turkish front, the picture is crystal clear.

This is the key to the straits and the most sensitive red line of national security.
Since the war’s fuse was lit, the Black Sea has transformed into the most unpredictable theater of modern military history.
Yet, Ankura never stood idly by as the balance of power spiraled out of control.
It played its cards to fundamentally alter the course of events.
Bayraar TB2 UAVs, TRLG230 missile systems, heavy mortars, and critical ammunition poured into Ukraine’s defense lines like a flood.
This immense military shield established on the battlefield was backed by an unwavering stance in the diplomatic arena and Kiev was never left alone at the negotiating table.
Turkish leader Erdogan recognized Crimea as Ukrainian territory.
By April 4th, the Ukrainian side came to Turkey to convey that it needed further support.
Vladimir Zalinski held a historic meeting with Erdogan in Istanbul during this critical period.
This meeting was likely being watched with astonishment by the Kremlin because starting with the Black Sea, the fate of the war might very well have been decided here.
Following the meeting, announcements were made regarding maritime security, energy, and joint gas infrastructure projects in the Black Sea.
However, the move that would truly create a sensation dropped like a bombshell right in the midst of this meeting.
Turkey announced that it had established a naval component command in Istanbul to manage the multinational naval force to be deployed in the Black Sea.
The command will be stationed in Anadukavahi in the Beakos district of Istanbul.
The choice of location alone carries a strategic message.
The very threshold of the gateway to the Black Sea right at the exit of the Bosphorus.
This structure whose core staff consists entirely of Turkish military personnel became operational as of August 25th, 2025.
You may be wondering why this facility, which opened in August, is making headlines now.
We’ll address that question later in the video, and the two countries will mention shortly, will likely surprise you.
But first, let’s take a look at the command’s mission statement.
The command’s scope of duties is quite extensive.
navigation safety, eliminating the mine threat, protecting critical underwater infrastructure, and establishing regional stability in the post-war period.
From pipelines to undersea cables, and from energy transmission lines to commercial shipping lanes, all of the Black Sea’s strategic arteries fall within this command’s area of responsibility.
The structure is being established under the Ukraine Volunteer Coalition.

33 countries have expressed their intention to participate and 14 countries have announced their intention to deploy troops directly.
However, contributions involving naval platforms will come only from the three countries bordering the Black Sea: Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria.
This detail is extremely critical because it preserves the security principle focused on coastal states in accordance with the spirit of the Montro Straits Convention.
While an operational headquarters is being established in Paris under the leadership of France and the United Kingdom, command of the naval component has been directly assigned to Ankura.
As the country with the strongest navy in the Black Sea, Turkey is assuming this role within the framework of its regional responsibilities.
Now, let’s turn to the real significance of this move.
The establishment of this command is viewed as a development that will influence Russia’s Black Sea policy.
To understand this, we must first examine what Russia’s Black Sea strategy is based on.
Since the Tsarist era, Moscow has viewed the Black Sea as its own sphere of influence, its own inland sea, access to warm waters, opening up to the Mediterranean, projecting global power.
All of these are contingent upon Black Sea dominance.
This was also the fundamental reason behind the annexation of Crimea in 2014 to avoid losing the naval base in Sevastapole.
Russia’s entire southern strategy was built on the assumption of maintaining control in the Black Sea.
The naval command Turkey has established in Istanbul is effectively undermining this assumption because in the Black Sea there are no longer individual countries acting against Russia.
Instead, there is a multinational coordination mechanism.
This mechanism possesses the capacity to indirectly constrain Russia’s naval operations from mine clearance to infrastructure protection and from intelligence sharing to joint patrol planning and the geopolitical consequences of this situation are quite critical for Putin.
Russia’s power projection capacity faces the risk of collapse.
Moscow had been providing a logistics route via the Black Sea to its Tardis naval base in Syria and its operations in the Mediterranean.
This route may now face dual-sided pressure from both the Montro Convention’s restrictions and the multinational presence at the Bosphorous exit.
Crimea’s strategic value may also diminish.
When Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, its primary motivation was to retain control of the naval base in Sevastapole.
However, a large portion of the Black Sea fleet has already been forced to withdraw from Crimea.
Now a multinational naval force is forming opposite Novarosis where that fleet has taken refuge.
Crimea may no longer be an asset for Russia’s naval strategy but rather a burden that needs to be protected.
A transformation is also taking place in energy supply security.
The Turkish stream pipeline which runs through the Black Sea is Russia’s last major corridor for gas sales to Europe.
Turkeykey’s strengthening of its security structure in the Black Sea indirectly increases its control over this pipeline.
When Russia seeks to wield its energy weapon, it will now face a more organized and resolute Ankura.
And the most critical point is this.
Russia’s Black Sea fleet has already sustained heavy losses in the war.
Ukraine’s drone and missile operations have wiped out a third of the fleet strength.
The remaining ships were forced to retreat to defensive positions.
Now, a multinational military presence is being deployed right at the exit of the Straits to face this weakened fleet.
Russia’s maneuvering space in the Black Sea appears to have narrowed more than ever before.
But the most crucial strategic aspect of this story concerns the Straits.
The Montro Straits Convention has been the cornerstone of the balance of power in the Black Sea since 1936.
While it allows free passage for commercial vessels in peace time, it imposes tonnage and duration restrictions on warships.
In the event of war, Turkey has the authority to prevent warships of the waring parties from passing through the straits.
With the outbreak of war, Ankora exercised this authority and closed the straits to warship transit.
This single decision had negative consequences for Russia’s Black Sea fleet.
Ships in the Mediterranean could not transit to the Black Sea as reinforcements.
Ships damaged in the Black Sea could not be sent to the Mediterranean for repairs.
The fleet was left isolated in its own waters and exposed to Ukrainian attacks.
Now add the multinational naval command in Beakos to this equation.
Right at the exit of the Straits, directly over Russia’s lifeline to the sea, there is now an organized military presence.
From Russia’s perspective, the Straits are no longer just a transit point, but are turning into a strategic choke point.
And this is where the detail that truly unsettles Russia comes into play.
A piece of information revealed by a post from the Turkish Ministry of Defense has shifted all the balances to a different perspective.
The commander of the multinational force Ukraine operational headquarters, French Lieutenant General Jean-Pierre Fog, and his deputy commander, British Lieutenant General Richard Stewart Charles Bell, personally visited the command post in Beakos.
High-ranking military commanders from two key NATO members made an appearance at the gateway to the Black Sea.
Turkey emphasizes that this structure is not a NATO headquarters.
Technically, this is correct, but geopolitical reality is not limited to technical definitions.
The fact that military commanders from France and the United Kingdom inspected this command post indicates that there is strong NATO coordination behind the facility.
Russia may interpret this in that way.
In the past, it has characterized every similar Western initiative as an encirclement of Russia.
The Russian embassy initially refrained from directly criticizing Turkey and noted that it appreciated Ankora’s balanced approach to implementing the Montro Convention.
But this diplomatic subtlety does not hide Moscow’s strategic unease.
Diplomatic protests, military exercises, and countermeasures in the Black Sea are among Russia’s potential response tools.
However, its leverage is much weaker compared to the past.
Here, we need to take a step back and assess Turkeykey’s strategic position.
Ankora has been pursuing a complex balancing act with Moscow for years.
The purchase of the S400 air defense system, the Turkish stream pipeline, the Akuyu nuclear power plant, tourism and trade volume.
There were deep economic ties between the two countries.
Since the end of the Cold War, Russia has been one of Turkeykey’s largest natural gas suppliers.
Coordination was established through the Estana process in Syria.
While competition and cooperation intertwined in the Caucasus and Libya, but beneath all this pragmatic closeness lies a deep rivalry that has persisted for centuries.
The Ottoman Russian Wars, the Crimean War, Sarist Russia’s ambitions regarding the Straits.
In other words, Turkey and Russia are historical age-old rivals.
Even the Montro Convention is in fact a diplomatic product of this centuries long struggle.
By the fourth year of the war, Anchora had calculated that maintaining this balance was no longer strategically feasible.
As the security vacuum in the Black Sea grew, either Turkey would fill that vacuum or other powers would.
Ankora did not allow for the second option, establishing a naval command in Istanbul, providing comprehensive military support to Ukraine, declaring at the highest level that Crimea belongs to Ukraine.
The sum of these moves points in a specific direction.
Turkey has aligned itself with the West in the Black Sea and this alignment has been reinforced by military support that produces tangible results on the ground.
The Bayar TB2 UAVs produced by BAR Machina have become one of the weapons that changed the course of the war.
Since 2019, dozens of TB2s have been delivered to Ukraine.
And with new shipments during the war, this number has exceeded 50.
In the first weeks of the war, Russian armored convoys advancing toward Kiev along with air defense systems and logistics lines were shattered by TB2 strikes.
In addition, Turkey has supplied Kirpy armored vehicles, laserg guided munitions, Can M2 heavy machine guns, electronic warfare systems, and protective gear.
But the real long-term move is Bayar’s project to establish a production facility in Ukraine with an annual capacity of 120 drones.
Construction of this facility, which began in 2024, is an investment directly integrated into Ukraine’s defense industry.
This is not emergency aid for a war period.
It is the infrastructure of a long-term strategic partnership.
Even if the war ends, this factory will continue to produce and this partnership will continue to deepen.
Here, one must grasp the strategic irony.
The country producing the UAVs that help dismantle Russia’s Black Sea fleet is now also managing the security architecture of the very sea where that fleet has taken refuge.
No matter how much Moscow analyzes this equation, the outcome remains the same.
Turkey has become both the supplier of weapons and the controller of the sea.
This is an extremely powerful position from a geopolitical perspective, and we haven’t even reached the most critical part of this story yet.
If you enjoy TGN’s content, now is the perfect time to subscribe to the channel because what we’re about to discuss is a development that transcends the Black Sea and reshapes NATO’s entire southern flank.
It’s not just about naval command.
Turkey is weaving a multi-layered security network in the Black Sea.
In July 2024, Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria established the Black Sea mine countermeasures task group.
This task force operates to neutralize the threat posed by drifting mines and protect critical underwater infrastructure.
Command responsibility rotates among the three countries every six months.
In light of this, Turkey has taken a step to enhance security measures.
It announced that its navy will escort Turkish oil tankers in the Black Sea.
This decision was made following a drone attack on commercial vessels.
A country protecting its own commercial fleet with warships is the clearest indication that de facto war conditions prevail in that region.
When all these steps are considered together, the picture that emerges is this.
Turkey is building a coordinated, permanent, and multi-dimensional security structure in the Black Sea.
But Ankura’s moves are not limited to the Black Sea.
The Ministry of National Defense also confirmed that a multinational NATO core headquarters will be established in Turkey.
This structure known as MNC-Tur will be stationed in Adana and is slated to be completed by 2028 under the command of a Turkish general.
The sixth core command in Adana has been selected for this mission and national core personnel assignments have already been made.
This move fills a critical gap in NATO’s defense architecture.
Eight multinational combat groups stretching from Estonia to Bulgaria on the alliance’s eastern flank already form a defensive wall against Russia.
The MNC in Poland covers the northern flank.
The MNCSE in Romania covers the eastern flank and the Black Sea.
But in the south, there was no permanent NATO corps in Turkeykey’s critical geography, which opens up to the Middle East, the Cauasus, the Eastern Mediterranean, and North Africa.
Retired Brigadier General Hussein Fosla summarized the strategic gap in a statement to Middle East.
With a multinational corps based in Adana, the alliance will have a permanent core to protect Turkey against Russia and threats originating from the Mediterranean.
The rapid deployment corps in Istanbul is valuable, but its mission is rapid intervention.
It is not intended to provide permanent regional protection.
MNC-TUR, however, is a completely different structure.
A permanent planned command and control center that facilitates the integration of allied forces.
NATO’s southern regional defense plan covers the Mediterranean, the South Cauasus, the Black Sea, and North Africa.
This plan was shaped in Vnius in 2023 and solidified in Washington in 2024.
Carol Waski, head of the Turkey Department at the Poland-based OSW think tank, stated that he finds this decision consistent with NATO’s 360°ree policy and that it holds great importance, particularly from Turkeykey’s perspective.
Moreover, Adana is home to Insurlic air base where US troops are stationed.
The sixth corps, which already has experience working with American and Spanish forces, is the most prepared unit for this new mission.
The existing housing, health care, and educational infrastructure minimizes the need for additional investment.
The NATO corps will elevate the city’s already high strategic importance to a new level.
All these developments are unfolding in the leadup to the summit where leaders of NATO member countries will gather in Ankura on July 7th to 8th, 2026.
Turkey has supported the alliance’s largest exercise with unprecedented participation.
It has actively participated in the protection of the Baltic airspace.
It has established a naval command in the Black Sea and is building a NATO corps in the south.
Ankura is redefining the center of gravity within NATO and in doing so it is both safeguarding its own regional interests and becoming the most critical component of the alliance’s 360° security vision.
Now let’s take another look at the big picture.
A multinational naval command is operational in Istanbul.
A permanent NATO core headquarters is being built in Adana.
Naval escorted protection of the energy corridor has begun in the Black Sea.
The mine countermeasures task group is actively operating.
Military and diplomatic support for Ukraine is deepening daybyday.
Russia may continue to view the Black Sea as its own backyard.
However, the Montro Convention remains Ankura’s shield.
And behind this shield now stands a multinational military structure, an organized naval command, and a defense plan encompassing the entire southern flank of NATO.
Putin won’t like this, but there isn’t much left for him to do.
The balance of power in the Black Sea is shifting and Turkey stands at the very center of this shift.
This content was prepared for you by TGN.
If you like this video, don’t forget to hit the like button and subscribe to the channel.
What are your thoughts on these developments in the Black Sea? Share your thoughts in the comments.
In our next video, we’ll be right here again, right at the heart of the most critical developments.
See you soon.
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