Iran just used the one piece of leverage that it has.
Control over the Strait of Hormuz has been the Iranian regime’s trump card, and it just played that card in devastating fashion.
What Iran did was unforgivable.
Three big ships were attacked.
But Iran made a massive mistake.
The US revenge for Iran’s Hormuz hubris was instant and brutal.
Let’s start with Iran’s strikes and come to the revenge later.

On March 11, The Guardian reported that a trio of merchant ships had been struck in and around the Strait of Hormuz.
One of these carriers absorbed the bulk of the strike, as the Thai-registered Mayuree Naree was hit by what has been reported as “two projectiles of unknown origin.
” That’s a polite way of saying that Iran attacked the bulk carrier in a strike that left the ship in flames soon after it departed from a port in the United Arab Emirates.
This strike, which occurred about 11 nautical miles north of Oman, signaled an end to a four-day lull in Iran’s attacks against commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
The Mayuree Naree’s crew members were forced to evacuate their ship in the wake of the attack.
So far, it looks like there were no casualties.
The Guardian reports that 20 crew members were evacuated immediately by the Omani navy, with three more staying behind to serve as a skeleton crew on the stricken ship as they awaited a later rescue.
That attack seemed to spark a small spate of follow-ups, as more “unknown projectiles” struck ships in and around the strait.
The Japanese container ship ONE Majesty was hit with a projectile as it sailed about 45 kilometers, or 28 miles, northwest of Ras Al Khaimah, which is in the United Arab Emirates.
This attack was far less damaging than the one against the Mayuree Naree, as the Japanese vessel sustained only minor damage above the waterline.
Still, it’s a clear signal of intent from Iran that it is going to follow through on its threats to attack any commercial vessel that attempts to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
Another bulk carrier, the Star Gwyneth, flying under the flag of the Marshall Islands, was also struck about 50 kilometers, or 30 miles, northwest of Dubai.
Damage was caused to the hull in the ship’s hold area while it was at anchor, but no injuries were reported.
This is Iran’s wartime strategy.
It’s the only one that the country has because the Strait of Hormuz provides Iran with the sole piece of leverage that it has in its war with the US and Israel.
These three attacks add to at least 11 more that have occurred in the Strait of Hormuz or nearby regions since the war began, Reuters reports, and Iran has made it very clear what its goal is with these strikes.
“Get ready for oil to be $200 a barrel, because the oil price depends on regional security, which you have destabilized,” blared Ebrahim Zolfaqari, who is a spokesperson for what’s left of the Iranian military command.
Indeed, the price of a barrel of oil had previously shot up to $120, though it stabilized to somewhere in the $90 range as hopes that the Iran war could end sometime soon.
That end may not come as soon as many would like.
We’ll get into why later.
Iran may have another motivation for attacking these civilian tankers, as Max Afterburner points out in his assessment of what just happened in the Strait of Hormuz.
“This screams Iranian IRGC payback,” Afterburner declares when speaking about the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which essentially acts as a second military for Iran’s regime.
And the reason that revenge is being meted out is “for the nonstop pounding that they’ve been getting from the US military.
” That may be the case.
But really, this is all about Iran leaning more heavily into the one thing that it might be able to use to convince the US and Israel to end their massive bombing campaigns on the Iranian mainland.
As Bloomberg notes, Iran’s strategy in the Strait of Hormuz is intended to lead to one of two scenarios, both of which benefit the remnants of the Iranian regime.
Of the two, the ideal scenario, perhaps for the US as much as Iran, is that these strikes will lead to peace negotiations prompted by the US wanting to avoid the pressure that comes with essentially closing a waterway that around 20% of the world’s seaborne oil passes through each year.
The other scenario is that the chaos continues, leading to the price rises that Iran claims will happen as commercial ships avoid the strait entirely and have to take far longer and costlier routes to their destinations.
This is what we mean when we call the Strait of Hormuz Iran’s only piece of leverage.
Forbes goes a step further in a March 9 article that was published just a couple of days before the three attacks, calling Iran’s strategy in the Strait of Hormuz the country’s “Real Nuclear Option.
” The US doesn’t have to worry about a nuclear weapons program that hasn’t reached maturity, Forbes argues.
The real concern, and the one that Iran is trying to create right now, is that Iran pulls the strategic lever on the Strait of Hormuz by making it impassable for an extended period of time.
Iran might even be able to follow through.
“At its narrowest point, the Strait of Hormuz is about 21 miles wide.
That may sound spacious, but tanker traffic does not spread across the entire waterway,” Forbes says.
It adds that shipping traffic through the strait doesn’t have free rein to sail wherever it wants.
The Strait of Hormuz is divided roughly into shipping lanes, one in and one out, that are each about two miles wide and separated by a two-mile buffer zone.
That takes what is already a small 21-mile chokepoint and narrows it down to just six miles that Iran’s fast boats can patrol, and its drones can strike.
The March 11 trio of strikes proves that Iran can indeed cause major problems in the Strait of Hormuz.
But the US has a little something to say about that.
Iran’s attacks on commercial ships couldn’t go unanswered, and the revenge that the US unleashed was fast, furious, and sent a brutal message to Iran’s military command that it will be hit hard every time it tries to pull its nonsense in the Strait of Hormuz.
US President Donald Trump warned that this revenge was coming.
On March 10, he took to Truth Social to tell Iran’s regime that it would be wise not to try to turn the Strait of Hormuz into a deathtrap for commercial vessels.
Trump focused on Iran’s second strategy of laying mines, as he declared, “If Iran has put out any mines in the Hormuz Strait, and we have no reports of them doing so, we want them removed, IMMEDIATELY! If for any reason mines were placed, and they are not removed forthwith, the Military consequences to Iran will be at a level never seen before.
” Trump even dangled a carrot on the end of a stick by telling Iran’s regime that it “will be a giant step in the right direction” if Iran pulls back on the mines and stops striking ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran didn’t listen.
And its defiance cost the country in a major way.
But before we go deeper into that, this is a quick reminder that you’re watching The Military Show.
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So, despite the warning, Iran struck anyway.
It may not have taken out any commercial vessels with mines, but it did use projectiles, likely aerial drones such as Shaheds, to attack commercial shipping.
And true to Trump’s words, the US meted out a punishment that left Iran’s military regime reeling.
How? The US destroyed 16 of Iran’s mine-laying ships, along with several other naval vessels, in a devastating series of attacks.
That news was confirmed by US Central Command on March 11, with the first 10 being reported on by Trump himself a mere 13 minutes after he delivered his initial March 10 warning to Iran.
“I am pleased to report that within the last few hours, we have hit, and completely destroyed, 10 inactive mine laying boats and/or ships, with more to follow!” Trump said.
We told you that the revenge was instant.
We’re assuming that as soon as the US received word about the first of the three strikes we’ve discussed, the finger that was already on the trigger was pulled.
Iran will be feeling the pain as its plan to use mines to control the Strait of Hormuz has fallen apart in a heartbeat.
The inactive vessels that Trump mentioned were likely to soon become active.
Now, they’re gone, along with six more since Trump made his announcement.
And if Iran thought that this was the worst of it all, then it had another thing coming.
The US hit much harder than taking out some mine layers.
Entire classes of Iranian warships have been taken out in response to Iran’s actions in the Strait of Hormuz.
That’s according to Afterburner, who provides a roundup of the devastation caused to Iran’s navy.
He shares footage from US Central Command that reveals that March 10 saw the US launch sweeping strike waves against the country on an almost hourly basis, all in different locations and directions in Iran.
Among the casualties of these massive and sweeping revenge strikes were the last four of the Shahid Soleimani-class corvettes that Iran had in its fleet, which means an entire class of warships has been wiped off the map.
The US is aiming to be “unpredictable, dynamic, and decisive” with these strikes, and it’s working.
Iran has no answers.
At least, the bulk of its warships aren’t able to defend themselves against America’s superior firepower.
And though Iran will be reeling from the US revenge strikes, it does still have options in the Strait of Hormuz that it is going to try to use.
Stick with us, because we’ll be revealing what those options are in just a few minutes.
But before we do, it’s worth exploring the sheer scale of the US strikes since the Iran war began.
After the dust had settled on America’s brutal retaliation to Iran’s Strait of Hormuz attacks, the numbers started rolling in.
The US now claims to have struck over 5,500 targets since it began Operation Epic Fury in late February, with more than 60 of those targets being Iranian warships.
A little clarification is needed here.
When the US says it has hit more than 5,500 targets, that doesn’t mean it has rattled off 5,500 bombs and missiles.
The amount of munitions used will be even higher, especially when it comes to Iran’s hardened targets, such as its underground bunkers, which need to be hit several times over before they’re taken out of the picture.
What we’re seeing here is an overwhelming amount of precision strikes being carried out by the US, and hundreds of these strikes were added to the list after Iran’s regime failed to heed Trump’s warning about the Strait of Hormuz.
Losing its mine-laying ships was already bad enough for Iran.
But to have the US hitting it all over, practically on the hour every hour, has shown Iran’s regime that for every commercial ship that it manages to damage with a drone, the US will utterly destroy key military nodes, vessels, and anything else that its missiles and bombs can target inside Iran.
And by “anything else,” we literally mean that the US can pick and choose its targets because Iran isn’t able to stop any of this.
The one thing that the US has to be wary of is that 5,500 targets struck and far more munitions than that used isn’t sustainable over the long term.
Preston Stewart raises this point in his analysis of Iran’s Strait of Hormuz strikes and the immense retaliation that came from the US He notes that 5,500 targets struck would average out to about 500 targets per day, and that could become a problem in the long term.
“…Those cannot all be done with standoff munitions,” Stewart says when talking about maintaining a 500-per-day strike rate.
He adds, “We do have a lot of Tomahawks.
We do have a lot of ATACMS.
We do have a lot of long-range cruise missiles.
We don’t have enough to be carrying out 500 attacks a day, every day, for the foreseeable future.
” The odds are that the US is switching toward using guided bombs in its campaign of aerial devastation against Iran, which is how it’s going to sustain what we’re seeing right now in Iran for as long as is needed to achieve the goal of forcing Iran to give up its leverage in the Strait of Hormuz.
That sustainment is going to be needed.
Even though the US has made Iran pay for what it did to the three commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, it would be foolish to believe that the fighting over this waterway is all over.
The strait is just too important, as we mentioned earlier when telling you about Iran’s strategy of forcing the price of oil up to $200 per barrel.
There is a real threat here, as the Strauss Center for International Security and Law points out, because about 17 million barrels transit through this one strait every single day, accounting for about 20% to 30% of the entire world’s oil consumption.
The Gulf region, in particular, relies on the Strait of Hormuz because pipeline options are limited.
All told, 88% of the oil that leaves the Persian Gulf goes by way of the Strait of Hormuz, so Iran isn’t going to be giving up its ability to control passage through the strait without a real fight.
America’s challenge is that this fight isn’t going to be coming from Iran’s large warships, or even the mine-laying vessels that the US destroyed.
Instead, Iran is going to be leaning on the other option it has, which we touched on a moment ago: Fast attack boats.
Even as its warships sink and its mine-laying strategy gets sent the way of the dodo, Iran still has a lot of fast attack boats that it can use to zip toward a target, launch a drone or rocket, and then get out of dodge before anybody can do anything about them.
Afterburner highlights this, noting that these fast boats don’t even have to be crewed, in some cases.
Iran has access to small and rapid vessels that it can pack with explosives and control remotely, somewhat similar to the seaborne drones that Ukraine has used to such devastating effect against Russia’s warships in the Black Sea.
That’s the big worry for the US right now as it shifts into a new phase of its Strait of Hormuz strategy after taking out the mine layers.
And these fast boats are having an impact.
Even though the US followed through on Trump’s threats of retaliation, it still hasn’t been able to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for commercial shipping.
At least, not anything like the volume of shipping that would indicate that commercial vessel owners believe that they will be able to move their ships through without the possibility of them being struck.
And on March 12, a pair of ships, namely the Safesea Vishnu and the Zefyroswere, both flying under the flag of the Marshall Islands, were struck in attacks that make the three we covered earlier pale in comparison.
Both were hit at about 1:30 a.
m.
local time off the coast of Iraq, again by “unknown projectiles,” and both burst into flames.
Authorities managed to rescue 38 crew members, though, sadly, one person died, per Iraqi news outlets.
These fast boats are an ever-present threat in the Strait of Hormuz.
The question now is, how is the US going to be able to handle them from here on out? Maintaining its rate of attacks on the Iranian mainland using guided bombs, as Stewart suggests that the US is doing, will play a large role.
This is a pressure versus pressure game, and the US can deliver a lot more pressure than Iran.
However, the US also has a duty to keep the ships that want to transit the Strait of Hormuz safe.
Afterburner suggests that this could be achieved through the deployment of fighter jets that are no longer needed in Iran itself now that the campaign has switched to aerial bombing.
“If we’re going to control the Strait of Hormuz, you got to have fighters up and airborne, just like this,” Afterburner says of images of fighter jets being released by US Central Command.
He adds, “F-22s, F-18s, F-35s, F-16s – have as many of those up there as possible.
” He references footage of an F-16 destroying Shahed drones in Dubai as an example of why this could work.
Presumably, the plan would be to maintain constant sorties over the Strait of Hormuz, perhaps with some tankers being accompanied by fighter jets, so that anything that attempts to attack by air or sea will be taken out before it manages to strike.
It’s a solution.
A costly one, given that America’s jets and the weapons they fire are more expensive than the drones that Iran is using.
However, the US may get some support in this endeavor very soon.
As The Times reports, France has announced plans to deploy an “unprecedented” fleet of warships to the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the Red Sea and the Mediterranean Sea.
According to President Emmanuel Macron, this force will include a pair of helicopter carriers, eight frigates, and the Charles de Gaulle, which is France’s flagship aircraft carrier.
Those vessels are going to be working alongside those provided by other allies, likely including the US, to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
So, maybe the US doesn’t have to do it all alone.
With France helping out, the protection offered to ships sailing through the Strait of Hormuz is magnified enormously.
Escorts become possible.
Warships can sail alongside commercial vessels, utilizing electronic warfare and their vast array of weaponry to take out Iran’s fast boats and other projectiles.
It may not be a perfect solution.
But what this does is strip away the bulk of the last bit of leverage that Iran has against the US and the rest of the world.
If Iran’s plan is to make oil cost $200 per barrel, the allies arriving in the Strait of Hormuz is the counterplan.
And as more of the French ships arrive, the US can continue its focus on applying pressure to the Iranian regime with its aerial campaign on the mainland.
That pressure may just be enough to cause Iran’s regime to collapse, which will have a ripple effect all over the world.
One man who’ll feel the impact, perhaps more than anybody outside of Iran itself, is Vladimir Putin.
The collapse of Iran’s regime puts an end to Putin’s Middle East ambitions, and you can find out why if you watch our video.
And if you enjoyed this video, make sure you’re subscribed to The Military Show so you get more analysis of everything that is happening during Operation Epic Fury.
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