Just before the American military was set to go out and destroy the revolutionary guards in Iran, Trump announced a 2w weekek ceasefire.

In Iran, they celebrated victory.

I’m not joking.

Today, Iran declared a great victory.

About an hour and a half before Trump’s terrifying ultimatum was due to take effect, a two week ceasefire in this war was announced.

While my family and I were in the protected room against missiles from Iran while ballistic missiles from the Islamic Republic of Iran were being intercepted above our heads.

The war suddenly entered a holding pattern.

President Trump of the United States announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran.

American Secretary of War Pete Hagsar declared, “We won decisively.

Iran begged for this ceasefire.

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” In Iran, they made it clear this is not the end of the war.

Trump is demanding the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

The media in Tehran published the 10-point plan that was passed to the United States and claimed that it also includes compensation, recognition of Iran’s right to enrichment of uranium and the withdrawal of US fighting forces from the entire Gulf.

And regarding the state of Homus, the revolutionary guards claimed that ships will pass in coordination with Iran.

And meanwhile, according to the reports, Thran will also collect a fee for passage through the strait.

As I said, this is the plan according to the revolutionary guards.

But on the other hand, President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social that they are lying.

So while the statements of the president of the United States regarding the ceasefire speak about the full and immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz, the statements from the Iranians are completely different.

I have to say that this does not sound like the end of this war.

But according to Trump, the straight of Homus is supposed to be opened completely.

But at this moment, 800 cargo ships and oil tankers are waiting for clarification about the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, whether they are supposed to pay Iran or not.

So what is behind the ceasefire? Our senior Middle East correspondent, Mati Shosani, will bring us the real reason that Iran was forced to stop this war.

And at these very moments, Iran is closing the Strait of Homus after the wave of Israeli strikes against the Kisbala terrorist organization in Lebanon.

Trump said explicitly, Lebanon is not part of this agreement.

A few hours ago, dozens of Israeli fighter jets carried out operation eternal darkness.

The IDF struck a 100 targets inside Lebanon.

The IDF is hitting, their operatives, and all this terrorist organization that are leaving the Dakia district in Beirut.

They are currently in shock according to the statements.

And now Iran is threatening that it will withdraw from the agreement if Israel continues to strike in Lebanon.

I’m Yay Pinto and with me is Mati Shosani and together we are boots on the ground and we bring you the whole truth about what’s happening in Israel and also the whole truth about what is happening in our neighborhood, the Middle East.

And this is the opening day, day 40 of the Roaring Lion War, or by its American name, Epic Fury.

And right now we are in a sudden ceasefire.

President Trump announced overnight that a temporary agreement had been reached with Thran.

And after a sequence of sirens across all parts of Israel, even MTA, who is apparently in a coma, announced a halt in the strikes.

Not sure how does that work, but negotiations between the United States and Iran are expected to open on Friday in Pakistan.

While in the meantime, the IDF continues its activities against the Hisbala terrorist organization, which is an Iranian proxy in Lebanon.

So, is the war over? Are we going back to our normal routine? The president of the United States announced that he is prepared to suspend the strikes for the next two weeks, subject, of course, to the Iranian agreement to the full opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

According to him, most of the military objectives have been achieved and an Iranian proposal has been received against the background of contacts that are mediated by Pakistan and progressed towards a broader agreement.

Trump issued several statements laying out the lines of this agreement.

Iran will not even reach uranium.

The president declared and added that we will take out with them what is buried underneath the ground.

The president of the United States said that Iran has gone through what he called productive regime change and declared that the Americans will discuss tariffs and sanctions relief with Iran after the announced that Washington had accepted their 10-point proposal.

And meanwhile, Israel stopped the strikes in Iran and turned to Lebanon.

A massive wave of strikes against the Hisbala terrorist organization.

Dozens of Israeli fighter jets carried out operation eternal darkness in which amongst other things, intelligence headquarters launched infrastructure and Ratwan commando forces and their assets were attacked.

The Lebanese health minister stated 89 terminated and more than 700 wounded.

The American secretary of war delivered a statement after the announcement of the ceasefire with Iran and said in less than 40 days we neutralized one of the largest armies in the world.

In addition, he boasted and made clear if Iran does not transfer the uranium to us willingly, we will do it ourselves.

Prime Minister Netanyahu of Israel announced just now the United States did not surprise us.

This is a station on the way to achieving the objectives.

Prime Minister Binamo said in a statement regarding the ceasefire that if we had not gone out to lion’s roar and to roaring lion all the Iranian operations and wars, Iran would have long ago had a nuclear weapon and many thousands of missiles to destroy Israel and threatened the existence of all of us.

We pushed the terror regime back by years.

The enriched material will leave Iran by agreement or by renewed fighting.

Israel and the United States see eye to eye on this issue.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyao said that the temporary ceasefire came in coordination with Israel.

The Americans did not surprise us at the last moment.

And this is not the end of the war, but a station on the way to achieving all of the objectives.

Prime Minister Baminaro said in a statement regarding the ceasefire that if we had not gone out to as a lion or to roaring lion the operations, Iran would have long ago had nuclear weapons and many thousands of missiles to destroy Israel and to threaten all of us.

We pushed the terror regime back by years.

The enriched material will leave Iran by agreement or by a renewed fighting.

And Israel and the United States see eye to eye on this issue.

And Trump added an unusual threat today.

Any country supplying military weapons to Iran will immediately be subjected to a 50% tax.

The American president issued an ultimatum against the background of heavy concerns over continued Iranian rearmment with the help of its allies, China, Russia, and the new North Korea.

Lebanon is outside the game of this war.

Trump is giving a green light for the continuation of strikes against in Lebanon.

Iran claimed that Lebanon is included in the ceasefire agreement with the United States, but Trump says otherwise and said that the IDF strikes against are acceptable to him.

That’s part of the deal.

Iran is now issuing an ultimatum regarding the continuation of the talks.

Ceasefire in Iran.

Israel and the United States coordinated the move.

According to an Israeli source and the prime minister of Pakistan, the ceasefire in Iran is also supposed to apply in Lebanon.

On the other hand, Netanyahu made clear that from Israel’s point of view, the agreement refers only to Iran and not to Lebanon.

And at the same time, Trump announced that he will continue negotiations on the nuclear issue.

And in Iran, they are threatening to withdraw from the ceasefire.

And Trump replied, “Kisbala is not included in the deal.

” A senior IDF official stated, “The goals of the war in Iran and in Lebanon have still not been achieved.

The Iranians are fully committed to their terror proxy in Lebanon and there may be still more fire towards Israel.

The Iranians announced that we will withdraw from the agreement if Israel violates the ceasefire.

The Houthis in Yemen are threatening together with Iran and announced Yemen stands with Lebanon and withbala.

A senior Yemen source told the Lebanese network Elmy Madin, which is an affiliate of following the broad wave of IDF strikes in Lebanon, Yemen’s hand is still on the trigger because we understand that the agreements of the criminal are only ink on paper.

Yemen stands with Lebanon and will not be alone on the ground.

In Iran, they’re threatening in response to the strikes in Lebanon to close off the Strait of Hmuz once more.

President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social that people who have nothing to do with the negotiations with Iran are spreading agreements, lists, and also letters.

In most cases, they are frauds.

And worse, they will be exposed quickly after our federal investigation is completed.

Trump also wrote that there is only one set of points that has meaning and is acceptable by the United States and we will discuss them behind closed doors in the negotiations.

So as you can see there’s a lot ahead of us.

So let’s dive into the details.

I’m Pinto and with me is Mati Shashani and together we are boots on the ground and we bring you the whole truth about what’s happening in Israel.

And this is day 40 of the war against the revolutionary guards in Iran, which is the head of the crumbling axis of evil in the Middle East.

And one second before we begin, I want to call on you to keep spreading the truth.

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And most importantly, do not forget to look for me, Yah Pinto, and for Mati Shashani on our social media platforms so you can get the full picture behind the scenes of what it’s like to live in Israel under this wall.

Our senior Middle East affairs correspondent, Mati Shosani.

First question to you is, how are you doing? Looks like it’s a lot hotter in your place.

Even though it’s about 20 minutes from where I’m standing.

I’ve just been moving non-stop all day.

I’m still hot.

It’s quite cold here.

I’ll put on a jacket in a bit if it makes you feel better.

No, no.

All good.

As long as you’re wearing the the very nice Boots on the Ground T-shirts that, by the way, all of you can get it at our website, shop.

tbnisrael.

com.

We have all the boots on the ground merchandise and you can all look like the one and only Mati Shashani.

But Mati, I need your help because it’s very very complicated and I don’t know what’s happening.

Can you explain us? Yeah, you’re not alone in that.

Yeah, we were talking before we started this live.

There’s a lot going on.

Excuse me.

And it’s quite confusing.

It’s quite confusing because there’s a lot of conflicting information.

Here’s what we know for sure.

And we need to be able to say what we know as facts.

along with what we know people have said is not true.

I was listening about an hour ago to the live with Prime Minister Netanyahu.

He said a couple very strong statements.

He says the following.

He says, “First of all, Israel was not surprised we were completely part of the negotiation leading up to this moment.

Secondly, uh a lot of the things that the Iranians claimed in their letter are not part of the agreement.

” And I’ll get to that in a second.

Uh we continue to fight in Lebanon.

They actually carried out the most substantial uh strike in Lebanon since the beginning of this war just today.

The straight of Hummus will be opened.

The Iranians will not have enriched uranium.

Uh the list goes on.

By the way, it’s pretty much anything the Iranians claimed is not exactly true or is a what they said was a twist.

I woke up this morning, so now it’s what is it 9:304 to 10 p.

m.

in Israel.

I woke up this morning and what I saw was letters from the Iranian regime with these outlandish claims of what they will have in the ceasefire agreement and it’s everything they’ve been claiming recent days.

Israel and the United States will repent and apologize.

They will get reparations payments.

They will tax uh ships traveling through the street of humus and the list goes on and on and on and of course nuclear power etc etc.

And President Trump comes out and he says very very strongly uh he says excuse me very strongly uh these are lies and he was actually upset visibly he says a lot of the stories that are made a lot of the claims that are made are simply not true stories.

Uh what will be in the negotiations and this is very abnormal for President Trump.

Much of this has been disclosed discussed and disclosed behind closed doors and will not be repeated fully in public.

Uh but it’s not what they’re claiming.

We won the war.

we want the war clearly.

Uh then it’s followed these statements are followed by and I want to read this accurately.

Uh followed by statements by Levit, the spokesperson for the White House who reiterates those things exactly.

She says the Iranian 10-point plan is nonsense.

It’s not going to happen.

Uh she said very clearly Lebanon is not part of the agreement.

Then Galibbah who’s the spokesperson for uh the Iranian parliament whatever that means since they are a dictatorship not a democracy he says that the uh that the terms of the ceasefire have already been violated and in in a negotiation is unlikely this is what he’s saying right now uh it’s very very bizarre he says and again when you look at these you look at these kind of things you understand that they’re not speaking in one single voice and then he adds to that and he says that the main thing that has been violated is the Israeli strikes that are taking place in Lebanon.

Now, I want to be clear about this.

Both Trump and Levit, spokesperson for the White House and Netanyahu and the spokesperson for uh Prime Minister Netanyahu all said the same thing.

The war in Lebanon is not part of the ceasefire agreement with Iran.

So, let’s look at let’s paint a big picture.

The big picture is is there have no been no rockets in Israel uh since the ceasefire entered entered in the middle of last night.

There was an hour before that, but not since then.

Uh the war in Lebanon continues in earnest.

The Israeli Air Force that has had now a lot of its planes freed from the operations they were carrying out in Iran over the last, you know, 40 days, uh has carried out some of the most substantial bombing missions in Iran today.

Uh it’s interesting in the days leading up to the ceasefire, they started to surface these complaints from Israeli troops in Lebanon saying, “We want more air power.

All our air power is way over there in Iran.

Bring them back over here.

We need them.

We need the air support.

” Today they got all the air support plus uh carrying out some of the most substantial bombing missions ever carried out in Lebanon uh by Israeli forces and the list goes on.

Uh right now there’s an unclear situation in the street of hummus.

Uh it’s said that it’s open but ships are not yet daring to travel through safely.

Uh there’s this guesswork that’s happening here.

So we’re in this very initial phase over here.

I’d say one thing that is very very clear.

One is that the Iranians are using counter intelligence as part of this negotiation.

They spread lies.

They release fake documents.

They falsify documents.

Um Trump and Nathaniel have been very very uh very much in unity at least in the messaging that they release.

They say the same thing.

Their spokespeople say the same thing time and time again.

And I say one more thing over here.

This is not going to be a short process.

Yay.

Uh not not at all actually.

This process is going to take time.

There are huge gaps between the two sides.

And and this is important to note, the United States hasn’t sent their troops elsewhere.

In fact, the troops that were on the way uh to the Gulf of America to or the Persian Gulf or the Arabian Gulf, whatever you want to call it, to the Gulf near Iran, the troops that were on the way to there are still on their way.

They haven’t turned around their ships.

So, we we’re still looking at a military buildup.

We’re still not entirely clear where it’s going.

What we do know is is that in Israel tomorrow, praise be to God for this.

Uh our kids are going back to school.

Uh I think every parent in every parent in Israel has a huge sigh of relief.

It’s been a month and a half of the kids not studying.

Uh that’s happening tomorrow.

So that indicates what our government thinks about the safety.

There have been no missile launches except for in Israel, Israel’s north where has continued to launch some missiles today, but very few and not to great effect.

So there’s a lot going on.

It’s not entirely clear where we’re going.

The main thing that we know is is that there is an active negotiation taking place.

We also can tell clearly that the Iranians are not speaking necessarily in one voice and they’re not happy with the situation.

And the third thing we’re seeing is is that the United States and Israel are very much working in tandem on this project.

Uh it’s not Israel without the US.

It’s not the US without Israel.

They’re still having a very very unified front versus Iran, versus other countries in this sense.

So can you explain I mean because Donald Trump is stating that Iran lost so why did they lose because it’s very hard to understand if we won this war then why are they celebrating for one why can they keep launching rockets for two and one can why three how can they still keep threatening that the straight of Hammuz will be closed so why did Iran lose and what did that’s a great question it’s a great question because in everyone’s head I think when we imagine the words someone loses in a war or someone signs a a pe you know let’s call it even it’s a it’s a temporary ceasefire agreement excuse me we expect that one of the sides would have a white flag but that doesn’t really happen in wars anymore of the wars that take place in the last 50 years plus are asymmetrical wars one side that is far far more advanced technologically and when it comes to weaponry and the other side that fights a war of attrition or a war where they’re using or warfare or proxies such as the Iranians do.

So I don’t think if we were looking for an image where there’d be convoys of leaving with white flags on their vehicles, that was unrealistic.

That’s not what we were expecting.

Where where has the US and Israel won against the Iranians? We’ve removed their leadership.

Hundreds of individuals at this point who were the the echelon of every government type in the country.

The religious government, the uh political government, the IRGC, so let’s call it shadow government and shadow army uh government, the leadership of the ballistic missiles, the manufacturing, the engineers and the scientists behind the nuclear program and the ballistic missiles program, the heads of the plants that manufacture the ballistic missiles, and the list goes on and on and on and on.

Uh we’re talking about over a month straight of targeted assassinations of the top tier leaders within Iran.

That’s substantial.

Two substantial damage to military infrastructure.

The ships, the tanks, the aircraft, uh every every munitions uh depot in the country have been struck and have been eliminated to the point where you would say that the military unit doesn’t exist anymore.

Much of the ballistic missiles don’t exist.

Netanyahu said something interesting in the press conference today.

He said, “The Iranians still have ballistic missiles, but they no longer have the ability to manufacture ballistic missiles.

We’ve taken that away from them, and now it’s only a question of time of when they fire the last ballistic missile that they’ve been hiding away because the factories that make the missiles are gone.

The majority of the launchers are destroyed.

The factories that made the propellant, the liquid fuel or the solid fuel, have been destroyed.

the logistical chains of of uh supplying those factories are non-existent and the individuals who were at the head of those programs are no longer alive.

So that’s substantial in that sense.

Two, the country has taken a hit to its infrastructure although not to a dramatic uh degree.

And the third part I think is a morale issue.

Once more the Israeli and American forces have been flying uncontested over Iranian uh airspace.

This time there were also sort of uh for a brief period American boots on the ground and Israeli boots on the ground according to some reports uh in the operation over the weekend of rescuing the pilot and the wizo the weapon system officer out of Iran and the Iranians were unable to stop the American operations and the Israelis on the ground in Iran.

So it’s a very long list of humiliation, a very long list of assets that have been lost by the Iranians.

But this is a very important butt here.

That doesn’t mean that they can’t fire missiles or drones at ships traveling through the straight of Hummus for two main reasons.

Ships that carry oil are big and slow.

They travel at the speed of a slow bike ride and they do so while they’re the length of three football fields.

Uh very hard to miss.

Very hard to miss this target.

In other words, you could be you could be the worst drone operator in the Iranian army and still hit, you know, the the oil tank.

And it doesn’t take it doesn’t take that much of a drone to cause damage because you don’t have to sink the ship.

What you have to do is have a picture of it hitting the ship and then the ship turns around and every insurer around the world calls and says, “Don’t dare send your ships.

We don’t want our ships sinking to the bottom of the of the Straight of Humus.

It’s very expensive to build an oil tanker.

Please don’t do that.

So, you know, you have this very very uh problematic relationship there where it doesn’t take much to threaten a ship from not traveling through.

And I’d say there’s one more element here, which is even if the Iranian government fully gave into whatever American uh request was made, uh whatever terms were presented before them, there still might be factions within the IRGC or within the bases that would say we don’t accept those terms.

We have some rogue unit somewhere.

Some rogue, you know, uh, let’s call it frogmen in Zodiac rubber boats with a bunch of RPGs and and anti-boat anti-hship missiles and they’re going to knock out several some, uh, tankers.

So, this really is about stabilizing the situation and not trying to say we’ll fully eliminate the Iranian ability to do anything ever.

One last thought here, Yay, is that in the wars that have been fought in the last decades, uh once again, we see agreements or a uh status quo of fear is what brings the end of the armed conflict phase of things.

Uh we no longer see governments give in completely uh because this isn’t a country-on-country war.

The Iranian army never tried to fully oppose the American or the Israeli forces.

They were using proxies throughout this entire process and the threat of using terrorism.

They never said, “We will beat you in the battlefield.

” That never was on the table.

And the Iranians are still fighting through in Lebanon.

As we speak right now, there are many Israeli troops, our friends, our comrades, uh, who are fighting in Lebanon against who’s a proxy trained, funded, and sent by the Iranians.

So, they haven’t stopped that completely.

They’re still trying to do that.

and Israel has looked at this opportunity and said if there was a question of whether or not we won, we want to make it abundantly clear and incredibly painful uh that you know we’re going to remove fully and there is no ceasefire agreement when it relates to uh which is a lesson learned by Israel.

I think that’s aside from the question of did we win or not a lesson learned by Israel where we will not let uh the threat of violence from an enemy be something we go to bed comfortably at night with.

Uh, we will fight them until they’re no longer a threat as it should be.

Exactly.

Mati, last question.

Donald Trump stated that there was a regime change.

He framed it a bit differently, but he said that there was a change in the regime of Iran.

What does that mean? Because the ILGC is still in control.

Is Mutapan not in control or who’s controlling Iran? We don’t know.

Uh, who’s the supreme who’s the supreme leader? It’s it’s interesting.

You really have to ask yourself the question, why are they speaking so many different voices? Why does one faction in the Iranian government say, “Yes, we’re, you know, we’re negotiating and we’re moving forward.

” And then Galibbah, who’s the so-called moderate that we keep talking about, he comes out and says, “Absolutely not.

We don’t accept any of your any of your terms.

” Here’s what we really know.

The way Trump looks at this, and we’ve heard this from several different elements in the Trump White House, they say the following.

They say, “We’ve replaced effectively the leadership of the Iranian people.

” What does that mean? Those who led Iran, you know, on the 28th of uh of February no longer lead Iran.

That is a true statement.

Uh they’ve all been replaced by others.

Then there’s a follow-up statement.

those who lead now are slightly more moderate than those who led before or their behavior has been modulated, let’s call it, by this round of uh round of violence and uh and war.

The person we’re all looking to is Muhammad Galibbah.

He’s the uh the spokesperson, the chairman.

Uh he’s he’s got several different titles of the Iranian Parliament.

He’s a well-known character.

He’s a well-known IRGC person.

He’s not what I would call a moderate.

He’s not what anyone in in this country would call a moderate.

He is a IRGC person through and through but he is different than the supreme leader.

What I would say is the leadership is weakened and there’s also the key element of there doesn’t seem to be an active supreme leader at this point.

Muchapa wherever he is whatever he’s doing is clearly not healthy enough to appear in public.

Uh is he as we’ve heard um what is the word for someone who has amputation of both his arms and quadripollegic? Is he quadripollegic? Yeah.

Yeah.

I saw did he did you don’t get to use it very often anyway.

Did he lose both his arms and his legs as certain uh certain uh sources are claiming or is he just in injured or is in a coma? We’re not entirely sure but it’s clear he’s not leading actively Iran.

It’s clear the Iranian government is speaking in several voices and yes there was some type of regime change although without any doubt or any hesitation I’ll say yet still the Ayatollas and IRGC who rule Iran and rule without any substantial resistance to their regime.

That’s the the bottom line here.

Got it.

Well, thank you so much Mati.

I hope that tomorrow we have some more clearer explanations of what actually happens and what does this ceasefire will look like for the next two weeks.

Yeah, so do I.

See you again tomorrow, Mati.

Thank you so much.

Thank you.

Yeah.

And to all of you that are just joining us now, we are TB and Israel and we are live talking about this ceasefire that is very confusing with the Ayatollah regime in Iran, what’s happening.

So if this is the first time that you are watching our channel, TBN Israel, so know that we are boots on the ground here in Israel reporting on what’s happening in the Middle East.

So, make sure to like, share, subscribe, leave us a comment, tell us where you’re watching and why it’s important to stand with Israel.

By the way, I’m Pinto.

That guy that was with me just a second ago, his name is Mati Shosani.

And you can search our social media platforms Pinto and Mati Shashani to get the behindthescene look of what it’s like to live in Israel in this war.

Because many Israelis are still juggling reserve duty in the IDF while trying to get back to work and handle their day-to-day lives.

It’s not easy.

Your body is tired.

Your mind is overloaded and the pressure doesn’t stop when the uniform comes off.

I’ve been there.

Coming home from reserves, trying to be present for my family, catching up at work while still feeling like I’m in a survival mode.

It takes strength, energy, and faith to push through.

And that’s why I started to take Vignya.

Yeah.

Really? It’s an Israeli supplement made from red grape cells that helps improve the blood flow to your energy and fewer days of that foggy, burnt out feeling.

You know what I’m talking about, right? So I started using my there’s also a coffee version and also a tea version but I think that capsules are the easiest fastest way for me to take vignia.

So I would suggest to all of you to give it a try for yourself.

Just go to vignia tbeneisel.

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Again, that’s vigniaisrael.

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So a wave of launches from Iran continued overnight even after Donald Trump explosions were heard in Bahin and at the same time the IDF kept striking in southern Lebanon including a vehicle near Ty and buildings that received evacuation warnings just minutes before the strike.

So what exactly began overnight in the Middle East? a ceasefire or just a short pause inside a war that still has not decided whether it is stopping or simply changing its shape.

Because this is day 40 of the roaring lion war or by its American name, epic fury and this day did not begin quietly.

It began with operational diplomatic and psychological confusion.

On one side, US President Donald Trump announced at around 1:30 a.

m.

, just an hour and a half before his deadline expired, that he was stopping the bombings and the strikes in Iran for 2 weeks now.

On the other side, missiles are still being launched, sirens were still sounding, and major gaps were already appearing between what Washington said and what tan claimed, what Pakistan promised, and what Israel actually accepted.

If we look at the night in order, we first see the last minute tactic.

Only hours earlier, Donald Trump has insisted that if there were no agreements, Iran would face a very severe blow.

Then right before the deadline, the announcement came a two-week bilateral ceasefire conditioned on a full immediate and safe reopening of the Strait of Homus.

Trump wrote that all military goals have already been achieved and even exceeded and that the 10-point proposal that Iran had submitted was a workable basis for negotiations.

Later, he went even further and said that Iran could begin reconstruction and that this could become the golden age of the Middle East.

But while that post was still fresh, the reality remained cold and very sharp.

Missiles kept coming out of Iran.

According to one update, around 10 ballistic missiles were launched in several waves towards wide areas of Israel.

In Iran, it was reported only shortly before 4:00 a.

m.

that much had instructed all military units to stop launching missiles.

In the Iranian world, this was not the end of the war.

It was an order to stop firing while stressing that the finger was still on the trigger.

There was no real sense of calm in the Gulf neither.

In Bahrain, sirens were activated.

Later, there were reports of injuries and damage in the straight area from fragments that fell after an Iranian drone was intercepted.

Later still, there were reports of a fire at some facilities and smoke that were seen from an area where oil installations were located.

There were also regional reports of missiles and drones that were fired towards Kuwait and Qatar and of interceptions there.

So even if Tehran tried to present the knight as a diplomatic achievement in the water arena, aircrafts were still firing, interceptors were still exploding and the question marks remained.

This is where we need to pause on the central feature of this day, the gap, because every side is trying to frame the agreement in a different way.

Trump is saying a total and complete victory for the United States.

The White House adds, “We achieved our military objectives and even exceeded them and the maximum pressure created an opening for a long-term peace.

” Israel says the United States coordinated this in advance.

Iran opened Homus without receiving any of its prior demands up front and the coming negotiations are supposed to deal with removing the nuclear materials, stopping the enrichment and eliminating the ballistic missile threat.

Iran says the opposite.

Almost all of the war’s objectives were achieved.

The enemy was brought to despair and the United States was forced to accept our 10-point plan as a basis for negotiations.

In short, everyone is claiming victory.

And when everybody claims victory, it is usually a sign that the war has not yet said its final words.

At the center of the dispute is that same 10 10point plan.

Trump said it was walkable.

The Iran published the clauses with pride and according to the Iranian version, it demands a complete hold to all aggression against Iran and the resistance forces, a withdrawal of all American forces from the region, limited daily passage of ships through Homus for two weeks under an Iranian protocol, the removal of all sanctions, financial compensation for the damages, an Iranian commitment not to produce nuclear weapons, American recognition of Iran’s right to enrich uranium regional negotiations according to Iran’s interests a ban on aggression against the terror proxies of Iran like or the Houthis and the cancellation of decisions by the security council and the IAEA the international atomic energy agency but here the first crack appeared it was claimed that in the English version sent to the diplomats the clause recognizing Iran’s right to enrich uranium did not appear in the same way.

In other words, before the talks have even started, we already seem to have two possible texts for the same agreement.

And that matters because the uranium issue is not a side note.

It’s the core issue.

Trump started the day with relatively open language, speaking about a basis that could be worked with, then later already pulled back and said that stopping Iran’s nuclear program was a central part of the American position.

Then he went another step further and said that the United States in cooperation with Iran would dig out and remove all the nuclear dust that is buried deep under underground.

He even hinted that the site where the material is located apparently in Isan is under precise satellite monitoring and that nothing has been moved since the strike.

And at the same time he threatened to immediately impose a 50% tariff on any country that supplies military weapons to Iran.

So even inside the ceasefire window, Trump is still holding a carrot in one hand and a hammer in the other.

So what exactly was agreed according Iranian version something much broader including some degree of recognition of its control over the strait of Hmuz and a framework that includes all the resistance fronts.

According to the prime minister’s office in Israel the agreement does not include Lebanon.

According to the Pakistani prime minister earlier in the night, it does not include Lebanon and other fronts.

According to Trump himself later in the day, Lebanon is not included because of that.

That is no longer just a wing gap.

That is a theater gap.

And that takes us directly to Lebanon.

Because if anyone thought that overnight announcement would also close the northern front, the morning proved otherwise.

In the early morning hours, there were already reports of a vehicle strike in the village of El Calalia near Tyre and of four people that were terminated.

The IDF then issued an evacuation warning for the building in El Abia area near Tyre.

Regional council heads in the Galilee said that they had received clarification from northern command that the ceasefire with Iran does not include Lebanon and that there was no change in the instructions.

And then came the truly major blow.

The IDF launched operation eternal darkness in which dozens of fighter jets struck around the 100bala headquarters and military infrastructures all across Beirut, the Becca Valley, and southern Lebanon.

The military says that this was the largest strike against Hisbala infrastructure since the start of operation roaring lion.

The targets included intelligence headquarters, command centers that are used for planning terrorist operations, headquarters belonging to fire and naval arrays, and assets of the Raduan Commando force and the unit 127.

This operation was not improvised.

It had been planned for weeks now built on precise intelligence and repend now when pressure on Iran was eased the aircraft became available and the weather improved.

So the IDF is making clear that this is not a closing blow nor is it some side reaction.

This was a move that had originally been intended as an opening strike in the Lebanese theater before the attacks on Iran and was postponed when strategic priorities shifted.

Now it came out a senior IDF officer said openly that the core objectives in Iran still have not yet been fully achieved and in Lebanon has not yet been disarmed and the threat in the northern communities of Israel has not been removed.

So from the military’s point of view, there is a separation between the war in Iran and the war in Lebanon.

They are connected but they are not the same thing.

This is where the ground dimension also enters the picture because according to the reports, Commando Division 98 joined the ground maneuver in Lebanon in recent days.

After focused ground activity in southern Lebanon, ADIA forces completed their stabilization along the anti-tank line.

Division 98 was the last to join and over the past week expanded operations along division 91, 36, 146, and 162.

This is no longer only the language of air strikes.

It is the language of special control strengthening a forward defensive line and removing the threat from the border.

And that pressure is being felt by hisbala.

The IDF Arabic language spokesperson stated in separate messages that has been leaving Dhaka in Beirut, the Shiite stronghold that they reside in and spreading northward into mixed areas of that city.

According to the army, the organization has un understood that Dhaka is no longer a safe space and is therefore trying to blend deeper into the civilian populations that are not only Shiite.

The meaning of that is double.

On one hand, it is evidence that pressure on his centers of gravity is walking.

On the other hand, it appears a far more complex arena ahead.

Because once the enemy leaves its own stronghold and moves into mixed urban areas, every strike becomes more sensitive, more complicated, and more dangerous politically as well.

So, by the way, if you’re joining us right now, make sure to hit the subscribe button, tell a friend, leave us a comment, share where you watching from.

I’m curious.

And also, we are TBN Israel.

We are reporting every single day about what’s happening in this war from Israel.

The name of the show is Boots on the Ground and we’re happy to have you with us if this is your first time.

So if you want to understand not just where these airplanes struck but also why they struck now and what it means for the days ahead.

This is exactly the time to understand deeper to know what’s happening and also to pray for the situation because in today’s Middle East anyone who only sees the explosion and not the full story is missing a big piece and that’s what we’re trying to do here.

So, conveyed through Arab media that it was giving the states that brokered the agreement a chance to enforce it on Israel, but that the resistance would not accept the situation in which Israeli strikes continue as if nothing happened.

In simple words, they have not fired yet, but they are keeping the threat in the air.

And in the army, the assessment is that they are stunned by the strikes and still trying to understand the scale of the damage.

And that same military source said that the military intelligence managed to generate a long list of targets and personnel that were hit in parallel within 10 minutes.

He added that the IDF is continuing a manhunt, especially against mid-level commanders because hitting them directly is affecting his field operatives.

That is an important detail.

It is not only the top leadership that matters.

The moment you that dismantle the core of the mid-level command l the response tempo in the field against it begins to break.

And in Lebanon the price is heavy.

The Lebanese Red Cross spoke of hundreds of dead and wounded since the south of this war and of a tragic situation in which bodies are still trapped under the rubble.

Buildings have collapsed and hospitals are filled to capacity.

According to one report, Beirut alone has seen more than 300 dead and wounded since the start of this war.

And regarding today’s wave, there were also reports of 254 unal alive and more than 1,100 injuries across Lebanon.

So, another report mentioned 28 terminated and 36 wounded in the Becca Valley in Lebanon.

Even if there are discrepancies between the figures, the direction is clear.

The blow was broad, it was fast, and it was multi-theater.

Politically as well, Lebanon is trying to pull the world in.

Prime Minister Nawaf Salam attacked Israel, spoke of strikes on densely populated neighborhoods, and called on the international community to stop what he called aggressive policy.

Parliament Speaker Nabir Bi claimed that Lebanon is indeed included in the agreement and that Israel is trying to undermine it.

Lebanese sources says that they are walking through international channels to pressure Israel to respect the ceasefire while emphasizing their commitment to disarming through state institutions.

The problem is that between declarations and implementation, Lebanon still has not done what Israel expects it to do.

And from here we jump east again to Thran and to Hormuz.

Because even if there is a hot war in Lebanon, the diplomatic center of gravity of this day remained the straight of Hmuz.

Trump built the entire overnight announcement on a full immediate and safe reopening of Homus.

The White House even declared that Trump had brought the reopening of Homus.

But hours after the announcement, traffic in the straight simply had not resumed in practice.

According to the shipping data, there were almost no vessels moving through the straight, even though in normal times around 100 ships every single day would pass there.

Maritime security experts explained that a ceasefire is only the first step.

Ships do not move because Trump posts something online.

They move only after safety instructions.

war risk insurance approvals, state permissions, and after the first movers, the first vessels willing to test the passage have completed the trip safely.

And this is before the biggest question of all.

Is that passage free or are the Iranians charging for it? And here the gaps are even larger.

According to the regional source directly involved in the talks, Iran and Oman are supposed to collect transit fees from ships in the strait during the ceasefire period and Iran would use the money for reconstruction.

According to the Iranian foreign minister, all movement through the strait will be coordinated with Iran’s armed forces and subject to technical limitations.

Other reports have already stated that in the past some vessels paid $2 million per crossing.

And elsewhere there was talk of a system of $1 per barrel of oil payment in crypto and explicit threats against anyone crossing without permission.

There’s also a report that at least two tankers passed safely with Iranian approval.

In other words, if anyone in Washington tried to sell a free reopening on the ground, the Iranians are trying to sell a more expensive form of the Iranian managed passage.

And this is not symbolic.

It is about power because hundreds of ships are currently waiting inside the Gulf.

One report says 800 vessels are stuck, many of them for nearly 40 days.

Elsewhere, there were figures of 426 oil tankers, 34 LPG carriers, and 19 LNG tankers.

There are also more than 8,000 additional vessels waiting on both sides of the straight.

So, if in normal times around 135 vessels would pass per day, currently estimates speak of perhaps 10 to 15 a day and only if clear protocols are established.

That means that even if there is a ceasefire, the maritime traffic jam will not disappear by morning.

And even if Trump is talking about big money and positive movements, in reality, thousands of sailors are still sitting on deck waiting for someone to tell them who exactly controls the route.

The markets, of course, already reacted.

Immediately after the announcement, oil prices fell almost 20% to around $90 a barrel and then stabilized around 96.

The shekele also strengthened significantly against the dollar.

In other words, the markets heard the world ceasefire and reacted as though the main risk had passed.

But if you look at the maritime data, the extortion, the fees, and the lack of clarity in the protocol, you realize the risk has not passed.

It has simply changed form.

Instead of missiles over the straight, there are now questions of control, payment, and enforcement.

In the other theaters of the pro-Iranian access, there was movement as well.

The militias in Iraq, they announced suspension of their operations for two weeks as part of the temporary ceasefire.

That announcement came after Marco Rubio said that American journalist Shelley Kettleon, who had been abducted by Katibbala, a proxy of Iran during this war, had been released.

That is not a minor detail.

It means that the militias too see this time window as something to use rather than getting dragged into another round right now.

And at the same time inside Iran itself, the regime tried to project victory.

Regime supporters went into the streets, waved pictures of much burnt Israeli and American flags and tried to send the message that the system had absorbed the pressure and imposed its terms.

But standing opposite that image is another one also very sharp coming from Iranian opposition style analysts.

The ceasefire is not a victory by a force retreat but by weakened regime that was badly hit militarily intelligence-wise, economically and also politically and had to stop in order to not collapse.

That line of analysts lists a long series of damages.

Revolutionary Guard commanders terminated, intelligence organs hit, bases destroyed, prochemical industries wrecked, air defenses systems severely degraded, police and repression centers damaged, and an economy facing a cumulative wave of war damages.

That is a very important point for understanding day 40 because even if the overnight announcement looks dramatic, it does not erase the 39 days that came before it.

The Iranian regime did not enter these talks from a comfortable position.

It entered after a massive pounding of infrastructure, after the loss of senior officials, after a partial maritime chokeold, and after an explicit threat against power plants and bridges.

So the real question is not who wrote victory first.

The real question is what each side still hold if the talks fail.

And the answer, at least according to today’s declaration, is that all sides still hold a lot.

Trump already hinted that if the terms are not good, we will go back to it very easily and very quickly.

Prime Minister Netanyahu said this evening that the United States did not surprise Israel, that the ceasefire is a station on the way to achieving the goals, and that Israel is ready to return to fighting at any moment if needed.

He stressed that enriched material will leave Iran either by agreement or by renewed fighting.

He argued that Israel has pushed the terror regime years backwards, seriously damaged the nuclear program, destroyed steel plants, petrochemicals, arms production, railway lines used for transporting weapons and military infrastructure, aircrafts and also parts of the navy and eliminated many senior figures.

In that same statement, he also linked the theaters regarding Lebanon.

He said that Israel insisted that the ceasefire would not include and that today took its biggest blow since the pager operation.

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