
US find a genius way to divide the Iranian regime from within with a sinister strike.
It comes as President Trump says he wants Iran’s current leadership removed and a hand in choosing who comes next.
No missiles, no bombs, no ground operations.
This was not necessary for the US to win the war.
It was enough for the regime to be one it could control.
And for that, a single seed was enough.
For over a month, the Iranian regime had been shaken by a severe leadership crisis, betrayals, and fears of an internal coup.
Supreme Leader Mojaba Kame has been missing for days.
It’s not even known if he’s alive.
The regime had suffered a severe blow, but hadn’t fallen yet.
And right in this power vacuum, Washington made a move that would bring down Thran from an unexpected spot without firing a single shot.
But we’re dealing with the man who I believe is the most respected and the leader.
Uh, you know, it’s a little tough.
They’ve wiped out we wiped out everybody.
Supreme leader.
No, not the Supreme Leader.
We don’t.
According to reports, Washington is now dealing exclusively with Parliament Speaker Muhammad Bakir Galibbah, a former Revolutionary Guards commander.
This move is triggering an internal earthquake within the Iranian leadership.
The person Washington has chosen to meet with is turning into an existential threat to the regime because in the regime’s eyes, he may now be a traitor.
Here is a brilliant application of the divide and conquer strategy.
The reason Trump’s strategy is so deadly is that it strikes the weakest point within the Iranian state apparatus right at its core.
Iran is not a single monolithic entity.
There has been a silent yet deadly power struggle going on inside for years.
On one side are the clerics, the mullers who form the ideological heart of the regime.
On the other side are the pragmatic military officers, the revolutionary guards who manage the economy, missiles and crossber operations.
Unlike his father, the new supreme leader Mojaba Kam lacks deep religious legitimacy and absolute control.
Mojaba’s leadership crisis is not merely charismatic.
It is structural.
His father Ali Kamina had managed the balance between the IRGC, the judiciary and the guardian council for 35 years through his personal authority.
Mujtaba has held no direct role in any of these institutions.
He merely conducted intelligence operations in his father’s shadow.
Now the arbitrator’s seat between these institutions is vacant and each is striving to protect its own interests.
And this vacuum is paralyzing not only the decision-making process but also the regime’s war management.
A coordinated military strategy requires a single authority to direct all institutions and that authority is currently absent.
By addressing Galibah directly, Trump effectively locked these two groups into the same room.
Galibaf is no ordinary politician.
He is a former IRGC air force commander born in 1961 who fought actively in the Iran Iraq war later served as mayor of Tehran and has run for president three times.
This profile someone from within the regime but aligned with the pragmatic wing explains why the US specifically chose him not an externally imposed opponent but a child of the revolution.
And the truly destructive impact of this move isn’t whether Galabath actually reached an agreement with the US.
The critical part is that it doesn’t matter.
What matters is the massive distrust and paranoia this possibility has created within the IRGC.
Hudson Institute analyst Zanb Riboua’s assessment is clear.
Trump has single-handedly planted a seed of confusion within the IRGC.
This seed has fallen on very fertile ground.
In the ongoing clashes over the past few weeks, the incredible precision with which American missiles struck strategic targets, underground bunkers, and secret radar bases had already created significant suspicion within the command structure.
The precision of
these strikes was too high to be a coincidence.
The belief that someone is leaking the coordinates had already spread among the commanders.
Now the regime’s second in command has been added to the equation.
Rumors that Galibah has been conducting backdoor diplomacy with US envoys in Pakistan have seeped into the regime’s veins like poison.
The destructive power of this rumor is independent of whether it is true or not.
In 2023, the arrest of Ali Nasiri, a high-ranking IRGC intelligence officer on allegations of collaborating with Western intelligence had caused an earthquake within the regime.
The Naseri incident was part of the infiltration network that enabled Israel’s operations in the heart of Tehran.
From the assassination of Mosen Farizad to the sabotage at Natans.
At the time, the IRGC launched a comprehensive internal investigation, suspended the security clearances of hundreds of personnel, and removed many high-ranking officers from their posts.
Now, the same suspicion has risen to the regime’s number two.
And this time, it’s not even clear who will lead the investigation because Mujtaba cannot maintain control.
The heart of an army is not its weapons, but the trust it places in the chain of command.
If a general suspects that the general next to him is leaking coordinates to Washington, he cannot issue orders.
If a soldier believes that the speaker of the parliament at the very top has struck a deal with the US, he cannot find the motivation to fight on the front lines.
This is exactly what is happening in Iran right now.
Commanders have begun watching their colleagues in the next room more closely than the American threat outside.
The Müllers view Galibaf and his team as American collaborators.
In the absence of a decision-making authority, the regime is splitting into factions.
Where trust ends, the chain of command becomes paralyzed.
We understand how deep the internal rift has become, not from analyses, but from the regime’s own panic-stricken actions.
Just hours after Trump’s Galibah statement, Iranian state television switched to an unprecedented emergency broadcast.
The state channel called on regime supporters across the country to gather on main streets, show support for security forces, and most importantly take an oath of loyalty to the leader.
This is a clear indication of a crisis of confidence within the regime’s own structure.
Moreover, this is not the first time.
During the 2009 Green Movement, the regime organized similar loyalty rallies, but back then the threat came from protesters in the streets.
In 2026, the threat comes from within, from the regime’s own command structure.
The state television’s call for the public to take to the streets amounts to the regime sending a message to its own soldiers and bureaucrats.
We’re still here.
And the fact that it feels the need to send this message is the clearest indication of just how critical the situation has become.
Just as the Kremlin’s staging of a everything is fine sherad on television to hide its losses in Ukraine exposes Russia’s true situation to the world, Thran’s call for loyalty serves the same function.
A strong regime does not demand an oath of loyalty from its people.
Only a regime that doubts its own structure and begins to question internal loyalty would do so.
The physical manifestation of this political conspiracy being orchestrated from within is a massive military paralysis.
Iraq’s condition was clear.
The end of the war is contingent upon guarantees that it will not be repeated and the payment of compensation.
In diplomatic terms, this meant we lost, but we’re seeking an honorable exit.
Yet this admission rather than saving Thran brought the country to the brink of civil war.
The reactions within Iran were so intense that they had long since crossed the line of ordinary political criticism.
An open rift formed between the government and the military.
Sources close to IRGC commander Hussein Salami delivered a clear message.
IRGC operations are continuing at full speed.
The defense of Hormuz KG and the underground tunnels is active.
A ceasefire can only be discussed after the enemy has surrendered.
Let’s pause and look at this picture as a whole.
The foreign minister says, “We are open to peace.
” However, the military wing continues the war.
This is the classic, “The military is fighting on its own.
Political leadership has collapsed scenario.
” Iraq’s surrender has further enraged radicals within Iran.
Parliament Speaker Muhammad Ba Galibaf spoke even more harshly.
We are not seeking a ceasefire.
We will strike back at the aggressor.
Iranian deputy foreign minister Kazm Garibadi directly rejected Iraqi’s diplomatic overtures.
There is no room for negotiation.
There are no ceasefire talks at this time.
And senior official Mossen Razi made a shocking statement on top of all this.
The war will only end when the US pays full compensation and completely withdraws from the Persian Gulf.
We will decide when the war ends.
Against this backdrop, Iran is experiencing one of the strangest paradoxes in modern military history.
It is precisely these paradoxes that are bringing Iran to the brink of three distinct dark scenarios.
The first scenario is based on the revolutionary guards forcibly seizing control of the state.
Signal intelligence indicates that the IRGC is planning to blockade key ministries and communication centers.
In this scenario, the military wing will swiftly purge pro peace figures like Peskian and Arachi.
Once the political leadership is sidelined, the state’s rationality gives way entirely to a militarist doctrine of suicide.
Mojab Kame’s attempt to seek refuge in Moscow and issue orders from there drives home the reality that the regime’s command center has been relocated outside the country.
However, this militarist victory holds no meaning on the ground.
The IRGC’s decision to continue the war will turn into a war of attrition with zero chance of victory.
An army with severed supply lines and air defense systems reduced to rubble lacks the capacity to sustain a regional war.
Economic sanctions and ongoing air strikes have paralyzed the army’s resupply capabilities.
This stubbornness will only lead to the soldiers gradual attrition on the front lines and the people’s condemnation to starvation.
As the attrition process accelerates, a massive wave of mutiny will be triggered among the lower ranks of the army.
The soldiers laying down their arms and returning home is the inevitable outcome of this scenario.
The second possible scenario involves the political wing forcing a ceasefire agreement with international support.
The secret diplomatic traffic conducted under the mediation of Gulf countries proves that this possibility remains on the table.
Iraqi’s statement amounts to a capitulation to the harsh conditions put on the table by the Trump administration.
The dismantling of the nuclear program, the withdrawal of military forces from the Strait of Hormuz, and heavy compensation obligations would strip Iran of its status as a regional actor.
Even if diplomatic delegations accept these conditions, this situation will trigger a massive explosion within the country’s internal dynamics.
If the government signs this agreement, the revolutionary guards raise on detra will vanish.
This surrender following years of propaganda will lead radical groups within the IRGC to directly turn their weapons against the government.
A split within the military could lead to armed militias setting up checkpoints in city centers and executing local officials.
While the ceasefire ends the war abroad, it unleashes the pentup anger within.
The government’s diplomatic victory will be the spark that ignites a bloody civil war in the streets.
The true big picture on the geopolitical chessboard lies hidden in the third and most destructive scenario.
In this scenario, where neither the military wing nor the civilian government can maintain control, the regime enters a process of simultaneous collapse from within and without.
The loss of authority or assassination of Mktaba Kame who has fled to Moscow will irreversibly deepen the power vacuum at the top.
When the tension between the regular army artes and the ideological guards the IRGC escalates into open armed conflict, the backbone of the state will be shattered.
This would signify not merely a change of regime but also the fragmentation of the country’s physical integrity.
The security apparatus turning against itself would set in motion ethnic fault lines that have been suppressed for decades.
Local resistance groups could rise up in the Kurdistan, Sistan, Baluchistan and Kestan regions.
Broad segments of the population exhausted by hunger, inflation, and the fear of war could flood the streets the moment they perceived the regime’s weakness.
In such a scenario, the revolutionary guards would lack the organized force to suppress popular movements due to internal divisions and conflicts with the Artesh.
This collapse is also a strategic nightmare for Moscow and Beijing.
As Russia’s largest ally on its southern flank burns in the flames of its own civil war, Putin’s sphere of regional influence suffers a major blow.
Iran’s withdrawal from the arms supply chain further deepens Russia’s logistical crisis on the Ukrainian front.
This marks the collapse of the doctrine Thran has been pursuing for years.
In short, the regime is giving up, but the war isn’t over because the regime itself is no longer a cohesive entity.
It is a fragmented, divided, and leaderless wreck.
And that wreck is being bombed from the outside and disintegrating from within.
Iran has lost.
The question is no longer can it win, but how and when will it collapse.
Right now, Washington is deploying one of the largest military buildups in history to the region, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz and K Island.
Thousands of heavily armed marines, attack helicopters, and warships have been deployed to the region.
In response, one would expect the Iranian military and the IRGC to lay mines in the sea under normal circumstances, conduct harassment fire with their speedboats, and create an asymmetric hell.
However, they are unable to mount any coordinated response because the patrol boat commanders are thinking, “Is the commander who orders me to fire selling my coordinates to the US? Urgent reinforcements are needed for K Island, but the units aren’t moving.
Because the fear of who will betray whom has paralyzed the entire military mechanism and the timing of this paralysis is critical.
According to open-source reports, Iran’s electronic defense hubi was struck in Tehran.
The center that produces missile guidance chips, drone navigation systems, and all encrypted field communication networks was reduced to ashes overnight.
The Shahed Shafi Zarde missile production complex in Kasvvin was leveled by JASSMER stealth missiles launched from B-52s over a thousand km away.
2/3 of Iran’s ballistic missile production capacity is now gone.
So, what are your thoughts on this matter? Please share your thoughts in the comments.
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